Dangote refinery is increasing gas oil exports to West Africa, taking market share from European refiners, according to traders and shipping data. The $20 billion refinery, built by Africa’s richest man Aliko Dangote on the outskirts of Lagos, is producing a lower grade of gas oil than expected as it awaits the restart of units needed to produce cleaner fuels, prompting the plant to seek buyers in neighbouring markets. Exports of gas oil from the refinery hit nearly 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May, nearly doubling April’s levels, data from analytics firm Kpler showed. The bulk of the exports went to other West African countries, but one cargo was shipped to Spain. Preliminary June gas oil volumes have fallen sharply, though overall oil product exports including fuel oil, naphtha and jet fuel remained relatively elevated at 225,000 bpd, the data showed.
The refinery “changed the balances in West Africa”, affecting European markets as a result, a European distillates trading source said. EU and UK gas oil exports to West Africa fell to a four year low of 29,000 bpd in May, Kpler data showed, while Russian exports to the region fell to an 8-month low of 87,000 bpd in May. Dangote has also been selling some high-sulphur gas oil to the Nigerian market as well but finds itself caught in a dispute with local fuel retailers over who is selling the dirtier fuel. Nigeria’s oil law passed in 2021 mandated a 50 parts per million (ppm) sulphur content, in keeping with the sub-regional ECOWAS standards adopted in 2020. However, the regulator had allowed gas oil above 200 ppm to be sold locally since the beginning of the year until June to allow local refineries and importers more time to comply with the new standard.
As European countries, including major hubs Belgium and the Netherlands, tighten rules on high-sulphur gas oil exports, cargoes from the Dangote refinery have found home in regions with lax motor fuel standards. A trading source with knowledge of the specifications said the refinery has been producing and exporting gas oil with 800-1,300 ppm gas oil, well above the 200ppm limit. However, the company said it was on course to achieve 10ppm gas oil soon. “We have commissioned the equipment and it would be done within two weeks,” said Davakumar Edwin, an executive at the Dangote Refinery. In a statement last week, Dangote said that they are working gradually towards meeting the new standard.
